Updates to this story
Around two thirds of 4G mobile devices will use LTE (long term evolution) rather than WiMAX by 2014, an industry analyst has predicted.
Jim McGregor, an analyst at In-Stat, said the move to 4G wireless technologies is suffering from multiple standards, limited spectrum availability, restrictive business models and other problems.
But, he continued, despite WiMAX having an early lead in the 4G market, LTE will account for 61.2 percent of devices in 2014. He thinks that smartphones and computers are the only likely candidates for supporting 4G over the next five years, with handsets and mobile CE devices using 2G and 3G networks, mostly due to cost, power requirements and a need for less performance.
That leads McGregor to believe that only 3.6 percent of mobile devices with baseband connectivity will use 4G in 2014. "Existing 3G networks are being stressed by data traffic that is increasing at exponential levels," he said.
The forecasts are made in an In-Stat report, New baseband solutions fuel mobile broadband devices, which profiles companies including Altair Semi, Beecem, Broadcom, Comsys Mobile, GCT Semi, Icera, Infineon, Intel, Qualcomm, Sequans, Wavesat and other vendors. In-Stat is here.